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A note on generalizing the concept of cointegration

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journal contribution
posted on 03.12.2014, 15:30 by Stephen G. Hall, P.A.V.B. Swamy, George S. Tavlas
Building on the time-varying-coefficient (TVC) model, we propose a generalization of the concept of cointegration, allowing for the possibility that a set of variables measured with error entails a nonlinear relationship with unknown functional form. Both the dependent and explanatory variables of this relationship may be nonstationary (not necessarily of unit-root type), but there exists a nonlinear combination of all these explanatory variables that completely explains all the variation in the dependent variable. The TVC model allows us to test for the presence of this generalized cointegration in the absence of knowledge of the true nonlinear functional form and the full set of explanatory variables. We present the basic stages of the technique and discuss in detail how the issues of nonstationarity and cointegration affect each stage of the TVC estimation procedure.

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Citation

Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2014, DOI: 10.1017/S1365100513000928

Author affiliation

/Organisation/COLLEGE OF SOCIAL SCIENCE/Department of Economics

Version

AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Published in

Macroeconomic Dynamics

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

issn

1365-1005

eissn

1469-8056

Copyright date

2014

Available date

03/12/2014

Publisher version

http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&aid=9312321&fileId=S1365100513000928

Language

en

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